BTC price analysis “expects” support retest
With the trading range still firmly in place, monitoring resource Material Indicators forecast a further bearish support retest to come.
Want to know what changed on the #Bitcoin Daily chart in the U.S. overnight hours?
According to the #TrendPrecognition algos, the probability of a downside move in the Daily TF increased from >75% to >84%.
— Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) August 3, 2023
“If you’re surprised, confused or think the bi-directional volatility is over then you haven’t been paying attention,” part of prior analysis read.
Popular trader Daan Crypto Trades, meanwhile, suggested that current BTC price behavior was merely the continuation of an all-too-familiar pattern.
The past few weeks have been all the same.
1. Price grinds down
2. Shorts get aggressive
3. Shorts get squeezed/Price goes up
4. Spot starts selling
5. Price rolls over.
Rinse & Repeat.
Until spot starts bidding after these squeezes we’ll just keep doing these full retraces. pic.twitter.com/vGgKUFI00f
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) August 2, 2023
“I’ve said it before but I’ll say it again… The longer price hovers around here, the bigger the move following it, will be,” he added on the day.
“I’ve heard about the ‘bank run/insolvency risk on Binance’ a hundred times for years, but their user balances always tell a different story,” he tweeted alongside charts showing the exchange’s BTC and Ether (ETH) reserves.
Bitcoin volatility prepares to undercut stocks, gold
Overall, however, Bitcoin volatility remains at historically-low levels.
According to the Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index (BVOL), weekly volatility was headed toward record lows seen at the start of 2023.
This chimes with existing comparisons to January, with Bollinger Bands data likewise echoing the period immediately prior to Bitcoin’s Q1 breakout.
Dylan LeClair, senior analyst at digital asset fund UTXO Management, additionally noted that 10-day realized volatility was almost below that of U.S. stocks, bonds and gold.
— Dylan LeClair (@DylanLeClair_) August 3, 2023
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.